Every North West case by area as ‘circuit break’ advice ignored

The North West of England now has had 127,808 confirmed cases of coronavirus, according to the latest Public Health England figures.

In Lancashire alone, a further 836 coronavirus cases have been confirmed across Lancashire in the last 24 hours.

New Public Health England figures released yesterday show Blackburn with Darwen recorded the biggest daily jump with 154 new positive tests of the virus. 

There were also spikes in Preston with 78 new cases, West Lancashire and Pendle with 74, and Blackpool with 69.

The daily figures are up from the 476 posted on Friday, 757 on Saturday and 630 on Sunday.

It takes the overall number of cases in areas managed by Lancashire County Council to 18,819, while there are 1,904cases in Blackpool and 3,624 cases in Blackburn with Darwen.

The total number of cases in Lancashire since the start of the pandemic is now 24,347.

Case data is now being based on people being tested both through ‘Pillar 1’ – which is in hospitals – and Pillar 2 – which is drive-through test centres and swabs sent by post.

The data below includes the total number of cases and overall infection rate for each area since the pandemic began. Many of these cases will no longer be active. For the latest infection rates for the most recent week of data, click here.

The number of daily confirmed cases of coronavirus by Lancashire borough as of Monday, October 12:

  • Blackburn with Darwen: 3,624 (+154), 2,420.9 per 100,000
  • Blackpool: 1,904 (+69), 1,365.4 per 100,000
  • Burnley: 2,053 (+60), 2,241.3 per 100,000
  • Chorley: 1,403 (+54), 1,186.8 per 100,000
  • Fylde: 921 (+18), 1,140.1 per 100,000
  • Hyndburn: 1,453 (+34), 1,792.9 per 100,000
  • Lancaster: 1,717 (+40), 1,175.7 per 100,000
  • Pendle: 2,030 (+74), 2,203.8 per 100,000
  • Preston: 3,169 (+78), 2,159.5 per 100,000
  • Ribble Valley: 651 (+30), 1,069.2 per 100,000
  • Rossendale: 1,071 (+47), 1,498.3 per 100,000
  • South Ribble: 1299 (+46), 1,131 per 100,000
  • West Lancashire: 1,847 (+74) 1,615.8 per 100,000
  • Wyre: 1,205 (+58), 1,075 per 100,000 

Six more people have lost their lives to coronavirus in Lancashire’s hospitals.

Data released by NHS England yesterday (October 12) show a further three coronavirus patients at Blackpool Teaching Hospitals died on Sunday, October 11. 

Two more people with Covid-19 died at University Hospitals Of Morecambe Bay on Saturday, October 10, and one person with the virus died at Lancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, which manages hospitals in Preston and Chorley, on October 10. 

The region’s hospital death toll has now reached 1,100, the latest NHS figures show.

Meanwhile, there are 127,808 cases across the North West as a whole, including Manchester, Liverpool and Cumbria.

There are now 24,347 cases in Lancashire, 6,343 in Bolton, 3,806 in Bury, 3,969 in Cheshire East, 3,714 in Cheshire West and Chester, 4,511 in Cumbria, 2,316 in Halton, 3,864 in Knowsley, 11,833 in Liverpool, 12,958 in Manchester, 5,683 in Oldham, 4,872 in Rochdale, 4,738 in Salford, 4,951 in Sefton, 3,473 in St Helens, 4,127 in Stockport, 4,146 in Tameside, 3,689 in Trafford, 3,570 in Warrington, 5,422 in Wigan and 5,476 in Wirral.

You can enter a postcode below to find out the cases near you.

Across the UK there has so far been 617,688 positive cases.

Of those, England accounts for 526,086 cases with a rate of 934.6 per 100,000 people.

In comparison, Scotland has 39,959 cases with a rate of 731.4 per 100,000 people while Northern Ireland has 21,035 cases with a rate of 1,110.8 per 100,000 people.

Wales accounts for 30,608 cases with a rate of 970.8 per 100,000 people.

These latest figures come as Sage advice recommending a “circuit break” lockdown was ignored by ministers, it has been suggested.

A member of the expert panel of scientists advising ministers through the coronavirus pandemic said the circuit breaker would have prevented the need for “intensive and long-term” restrictions later which England now faces.

At its September 21 meeting, the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) suggested immediately introducing a national lockdown lasting between two and three weeks to halt the rapid spread of the virus – dubbed a “circuit break” lockdown.

But the Prime Minister appeared to reject the idea when he laid out a tiered system of restrictions on Monday, placing Lancashire and Greater Manchester on Tier 2 at ‘high alert level’.

Liverpool City Region is the only area to be put into the harshest measures of Tier 3, which includes the widespread closure of the hospitality sector and banning social interactions between households – but there are concerns Lancsashire could soon follow.

Andrew Hayward, professor of infectious disease epidemiology at University College London and a member of Sage, said he did not think the restrictions included in Tier 3 would result in the R rate being pushed below one, meaning the virus was likely to still spread at pace.

Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s Today programme, Prof Hayward said that the failure to “take decisive action several weeks ago” meant it was “not really surprising that we’re continuing to see large increases in cases”.

He added: “I think it is clear even at the so-called ‘very high’ levels of restrictions that they will not be sufficient to reduce R below one.”

Prof Hayward, who did not attend the September 21 meeting, argued that a “circuit break” style lockdown would have been a “proportionate” way of getting a grip on the virus while avoiding “intensive and long-term lockdowns later”.

He told Today: “What we’ve done through the pandemic is we’ve invested huge amounts of money in being able to track where the virus is and where it is increasing so we have much better information to pick up early warnings of increases in cases.

“That should allow us to act early in a decisive way to prevent having to act in a more damaging way later.

“And that was really one of the intentions of the recommendations for a ‘circuit break’, that this could be a controlled, manageable, proportionate system that would save the need for much more intensive and long-term lockdowns later.”

In a sign Tory thinking on a national lockdown could be changing, Sir Bernard Jenkin, chairman of the Liaison Committee, which scrutinises the Prime Minister, told Times Radio he thought it was better to go for a “short, sharp, shock” lockdown in order to reach “manageable levels before Christmas”.

Labour shadow health secretary Jonathan Ashworth, meanwhile, said he would have been inclined to have “followed the science” if he was in power.

He also said ministers should have closed more pubs and bars than they did on Monday in a bid to stem transmission.

“If we need to impose further restrictions to get on top of this virus, then I’m afraid we have to do that,” he told Today.

“It is why I support the decision that was taken yesterday to close pubs and bars in Merseyside.

“I think actually the Government should have gone further yesterday because we’ve got to reduce social mixing given where we are with the prevalence of the virus in parts of the country.”

Asked what he would have liked to have seen from ministers, Mr Ashworth replied that he “would have looked at closing pubs and bars in other parts of the country” as well as devolving Test and Trace entirely to local authorities.

Lancs Live – Cumbria